Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 2040.832601 2224.749257 2412.531155 2618.314676 2837.194601 3062.763602 3312.506926
2024-11-03 1796.092269 2072.506487 2366.607740 2701.687166 3071.713986 3466.699416 3919.036263
2024-11-10 1628.221869 1959.907819 2323.666167 2749.861815 3233.105817 3761.629017 4380.919453
2024-11-17 1472.538463 1839.016581 2251.574067 2746.557384 3320.322489 3960.527909 4724.777059
2024-11-24 1330.401345 1718.858213 2166.722842 2715.672857 3364.587557 4101.457499 4995.416340
2024-12-01 1241.644852 1653.083223 2137.489646 2742.324242 3469.397398 4307.376506 5337.859958
2024-12-08 1151.040833 1577.526957 2089.836762 2740.827401 3535.784047 4464.720035 5621.379267
2024-12-15 1097.479391 1543.390941 2088.621468 2792.139449 3663.003432 4692.744353 5988.593968
2024-12-22 1017.109748 1469.686623 2033.423444 2772.439702 3700.087860 4810.239801 6222.324861
2024-12-29 981.050364 1450.589490 2044.674043 2833.852439 3835.970031 5047.154745 6601.289687
2025-01-05 929.366474 1407.470579 2022.256489 2850.091403 3913.711219 5212.127675 6892.898756
2025-01-12 878.860652 1362.842691 1995.152077 2857.901537 3979.019949 5360.797856 7164.533210
2025-01-19 791.977914 1264.590461 1894.220305 2767.232292 3917.314580 5351.147332 7241.607583
2025-01-26 777.675767 1267.086941 1927.885312 2854.174710 4085.751619 5633.030486 7686.673357
2025-02-02 751.453735 1250.858105 1934.737709 2904.401017 4206.072799 5854.464073 8057.336927
2025-02-09 708.783541 1208.340580 1903.225259 2900.956138 4254.412467 5983.241356 8310.767754
2025-02-16 659.853796 1153.835506 1852.422776 2868.756937 4262.542470 6058.830458 8495.637705
2025-02-23 633.334454 1131.483086 1845.824804 2896.543014 4350.530324 6238.211025 8815.007667
2025-03-02 599.689736 1096.365577 1819.253840 2894.982517 4397.782797 6363.902529 9065.282544
2025-03-09 584.284727 1088.735688 1831.952973 2948.471993 4520.308541 6589.548102 9447.503873
2025-03-16 548.980098 1047.723365 1793.822679 2927.937443 4539.773069 6677.889833 9649.898875
2025-03-23 538.842988 1046.556694 1814.559809 2991.947938 4676.748224 6923.871739 10061.665421
2025-03-30 516.854388 1024.855283 1803.397598 3008.871521 4747.605735 7081.347611 10357.268027